Focus on impact model evaluation and improvement, and detection and attribution of observed impacts according to the framework of the IPCC WGII-AR5 Chapter 18. It includes a counterfactual “no-climate change baseline”: detrended climate + observed socio-economic forcing.
Focus on model validation, in particular with respect to the representation of impacts of extreme weather events and climate variability. Includes a common global observational climate data set and a global observational impacts data set, against which the models can be bench marked.
Focus on providing robust information about the impacts of 1.5°C global warming and related low-emission pathways, as required for the IPCC Special Report on this topic. Pre-industrial control runs are included to facilitate statistical comparison with a no-climate-change case.
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